next up previous contents ©Marino Gatto and Renato Casagrandi (2020) Models for conservation and management in population and disease ecology

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Problem ER10

The average lifetime of the golden civet (Civettictis aurata) is 2 years and its instantaneous rate of demographic increase is zero. In 2010, 40 civets (sex ratio 1:1) are used to repopulate the Kwakingame reserve, which is the only available habitat for the civet in the Kingland region. Calculate the extinction probability in 2030 for this new population.